---
title: "Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-climate-clocks-15c-deadline-change-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 17198.39
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:07:12+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-climate-clocks-15c-deadline-change-by
---

# Will the Climate Clock's 1.5°C deadline change by...?

Live · $17,198 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

Each market asks whether the “Deadline” to limit global warming to 1.5°C shown by the Climate Clock (https://climateclock.world) will change before that market's listed date.

A market resolves to “Yes” if, at any point on or before its listed date, 11:59 PM ET, the Climate Clock's published 1.5°C Deadline is more than 30 days earlier or more than 30 days later than July 22, 2029. Otherwise, that market resolves to “No”.

The Climate Clock's 1.5°C Deadline is published as a machine-readable timestamp in its public data feed at https://api.climateclock.world/v2/clock.json (the “timestamp” value of the carbon-deadline module), which is the same target the on-site countdown at https://climateclock.world displays. As of this market's creation, that Deadline is July 22, 2029 (timestamp 2029-07-22T16:00:00+00:00). The ordinary second-by-second ticking of the countdown toward the Deadline does not constitute a change; only a change to the published Deadline date itself qualifies.

Because a qualifying change is permanent once published, every market with a listed date on or after the change will resolve “Yes”, and markets whose listed date has already passed without a qualifying change will have resolved “No”. If the Climate Clock and its public data feed both become permanently unavailable before a qualifying change is published, all unresolved markets will resolve to “No”.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94% | 94¢ on Polymarket | 94¢ |
| Yes | 7% | 7¢ on Polymarket | 7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/291611?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-climate-clocks-15c-deadline-change-by.

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