---
title: "Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-fed-cut-rates-more-than-25-bps-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 661758.43
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:12:56+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-fed-cut-rates-more-than-25-bps-in-2026
---

# Will the Fed cut rates more than 25 bps in 2026?

Live · $661,758 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the Federal Reserve cuts rates by more than 25 basis points before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For example, this market will resolve to Yes if the Federal Reserve cuts rates by 50 basis points during one day, non-scheduled meetings are included. The Federal Reserve cutting rates by 25 basis points in January and 25 basis points in March would not be sufficient to resolve this market.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Yes | 2% | 3¢ on Kalshi | 3¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2212?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-fed-cut-rates-more-than-25-bps-in-2026.

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