---
title: "Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-federal-reserve-cut-rates-before-2027
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1448684.51
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:20:45+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-federal-reserve-cut-rates-before-2027
---

# Will the Federal Reserve cut rates before 2027?

Live · kickoff 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC · $1,448,685 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the Federal Reserve cuts its target federal funds rate range at least once between February 26, 2026 and December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will close and determine on the first 10 AM ET following the occurrence of the event if the event occurs prior to the target date.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 95% | 95¢ on Kalshi | 95¢ |
| Yes | 5% | 5.2¢ on Kalshi | 5.2¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2159?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-federal-reserve-cut-rates-before-2027.

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