---
title: "Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-french-socialist-primary-be-won-outright-in-the-first-round
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-10T18:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1268.39
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:42:47+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-french-socialist-primary-be-won-outright-in-the-first-round
---

# Will the French Socialist primary be won outright in the first round?

Live · $1,268 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.

If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 75% | 87¢ on Polymarket | 87¢ |
| Yes | 25% | 37¢ on Polymarket | 37¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/486780?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-french-socialist-primary-be-won-outright-in-the-first-round.

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