---
title: "Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 561942.92
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:25:53+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster-by
---

# Will the GOP use 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by...?

Live · $561,943 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 6% | 9.4¢ on Polymarket | 9.4¢ |
| No | 94% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |

## Other markets

- March 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- October 31 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/581933?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-gop-use-nuclear-option-to-break-filibuster-by.

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