---
title: "Will the House pass a bill expanding the Supreme Court?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-house-pass-a-bill-expanding-the-supreme-court
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 200
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:37:40+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-house-pass-a-bill-expanding-the-supreme-court
---

# Will the House pass a bill expanding the Supreme Court?

Live · $200 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If a bill expanding the Supreme Court has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

A qualifying bill is legislation that would increase the number of Justices of the Supreme Court above nine. Only Justices who hear the Court's appellate cases count, so a term-limits or staggered-appointment bill qualifies if it would at any time have more than nine Justices hearing the Court's appellate cases; Justices in senior status, or who hear only original-jurisdiction cases, do not count. Legislation that changes only the Court's jurisdiction, procedures, ethics rules or term limits, adds seats to lower courts, or proposes a constitutional amendment fixing the Court's size does NOT qualify.

The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying increase. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 88% | 88¢ on Kalshi | 89¢ |
| Yes | 12% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1159023?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-house-pass-a-bill-expanding-the-supreme-court).

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