---
title: "Will the House pass a bill to codify Roe v. Wade?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-house-pass-a-bill-to-codify-roe-v-wade
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1486.69
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T05:29:22+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-house-pass-a-bill-to-codify-roe-v-wade
---

# Will the House pass a bill to codify Roe v. Wade?

Live · $1,487 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If a bill codifying Roe v. Wade has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

A qualifying bill is legislation that establishes a federal statutory right to abortion that applies in every state, at least as broad as Roe v. Wade: abortion must be protected before fetal viability, and after viability where needed to protect the patient's life or health. The Women's Health Protection Act or a successor bill with the same effect qualifies. Legislation limited to a narrower subject, such as interstate travel, contraception, medication abortion, funding or the privacy of reproductive health data, does NOT qualify, and neither does a bill that protects abortion only for a shorter period than before viability.

The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying right. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 65% | 66¢ on Kalshi | 66¢ |
| No | 35% | 36¢ on Kalshi | 36¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1158195?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-house-pass-a-bill-to-codify-roe-v-wade).

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