---
title: "Will the House pass a Medicare for All bill?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-house-pass-a-medicare-for-all-bill
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 11.64
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:24:16+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-house-pass-a-medicare-for-all-bill
---

# Will the House pass a Medicare for All bill?

Live · $12 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If a Medicare for All bill creating a single-payer national health insurance program has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

A qualifying bill is legislation that creates a single government-run national health insurance program covering all U.S. residents (single-payer), such as the Medicare for All Act. The Medicare for All Act or a successor bill with the same effect qualifies. Legislation that only creates a public option or Medicare buy-in (including "Medicare for all who want it"), only lowers the Medicare eligibility age, only expands Medicaid or Medicare benefits, only extends or increases ACA premium tax credits, only authorizes or funds state single-payer programs, or only studies single-payer does NOT qualify.

The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying program. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | — | — | — |
| Yes | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1167186?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-house-pass-a-medicare-for-all-bill).

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