---
title: "Will the House pass a public health insurance option bill?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-house-pass-a-public-health-insurance-option-bill
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 202.4
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T04:43:39+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-house-pass-a-public-health-insurance-option-bill
---

# Will the House pass a public health insurance option bill?

Live · $202 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If a bill creating a public health insurance option has passed the House after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

A qualifying bill is legislation that creates a federal government-run health insurance plan that individuals can choose to buy or enroll in as an alternative to private insurance, such as a Medicare-style plan sold alongside private plans on the ACA marketplaces or a Medicare buy-in. The Choose Medicare Act or a successor bill with the same effect qualifies. Legislation that would replace private health insurance with a single government plan (such as Medicare for All), only extends or increases ACA premium tax credits, expands Medicaid, only lowers the Medicare eligibility age, authorizes or funds state-run public options, or only studies a public option does NOT qualify.

The measure must pass the full House by any means, including voice vote, unanimous consent, suspension of the rules, a special rule or a discharge petition. It may be any vehicle, including a larger package whose text as passed contains a qualifying plan. Committee approval, a rule providing for consideration, or a discharge petition reaching 218 signatures without passage does NOT count. Senate passage and enactment do NOT count.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 82% | 82¢ on Kalshi | 82¢ |
| Yes | 19% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1158903?via=md)

---

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