---
title: "Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar? — Before Jul 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-house-vote-on-a-resolution-to-expel-ilhan-omar-before-jul-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-07-01T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4506.52
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-07T06:05:51+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-house-vote-on-a-resolution-to-expel-ilhan-omar-before-jul-1-2027
---

# Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar? — Before Jul 1, 2027

Live · $4,507 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

This includes:
Roll call votes
Recorded votes
Yea-and-nay votes
Electronic votes (in the House)
Division/standing votes

The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion:
Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded, including a motion to table, refer, or postpone that is agreed to by voice vote
Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote
Votes in committee, including any vote of the House Committee on Ethics
Procedural determinations by the presiding officer, including a ruling on whether a resolution is privileged, and any vote on an appeal of such a ruling
Deemed passage without an actual vote
A Member giving notice of intent to offer, reading, or introducing a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar
A vote on adjourning or recessing, or on any special rule or other measure that does not specifically refer to a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar
A vote on an amendment to a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar
A vote on a resolution that only censures or reprimands Ilhan Omar, removes her from committee assignments, or authorizes or directs an Ethics Committee inquiry or investigation of her
A vote on whether to administer the oath of office to, or to seat, Ilhan Omar

For clarity, each of the following DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion, regardless of the outcome of the vote:
A vote on adopting a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar
A vote on a motion to table, refer, or postpone a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar
A vote on whether the House will consider a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar, or on ordering the previous question on it
A vote on a special rule that specifically refers to a resolution providing for the expulsion of Ilhan Omar, including ordering the previous question on that rule, whether the rule provides for the resolution's consideration, lays it on the table, refers it, or delays or waives the time for its consideration

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | 37% | 38¢ on Kalshi | 38¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 8% | 12¢ on Kalshi | 12¢ |
| Before Dec 1, 2026 | 4% | 6¢ on Kalshi | 6¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1025764?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-house-vote-on-a-resolution-to-expel-ilhan-omar-before-jul-1-2027).

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