---
title: "Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-imf-declare-a-global-recession-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 80027.59
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:12:19+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-imf-declare-a-global-recession-before-2027
---

# Will the IMF declare a global recession before 2027?

Live · $80,028 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 97% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 4¢ on Kalshi | 4¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2227?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-imf-declare-a-global-recession-before-2027.

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