---
title: "Will the number of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick who leave the U.S. House of Representatives (with an actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE contract) be exactly 4 before November 3, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-number-of-representatives-tony-gonzales-eric-swalwell-cory-mills-and-sheila-cherfilus-mccormick-who-leave-the-us-house-of-representatives-with-an-actual-departure-date-per-effectiveleave-contract-be-exactly-4-before-november-3-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-11-03T14:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 7817.19
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:26:00+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-number-of-representatives-tony-gonzales-eric-swalwell-cory-mills-and-sheila-cherfilus-mccormick-who-leave-the-us-house-of-representatives-with-an-actual-departure-date-per-effectiveleave-contract-be-exactly-4-before-november-3-2026
---

# Will the number of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick who leave the U.S. House of Representatives (with an actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE contract) be exactly 4 before November 3, 2026?

Live · $7,817 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If all four of Representatives Tony Gonzales, Eric Swalwell, Cory Mills, and Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick leave the U.S. House of Representatives (based on actual departure date, per EFFECTIVELEAVE) before November 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 93% | 96¢ on Kalshi | 96¢ |
| Yes | 7% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/469461?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-number-of-representatives-tony-gonzales-eric-swalwell-cory-mills-and-sheila-cherfilus-mccormick-who-leave-the-us-house-of-representatives-with-an-actual-departure-date-per-effectiveleave-contract-be-exactly-4-before-november-3-2026.

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