---
title: "Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-number-of-unemployment-rate-exceeds-10-monthly-bls-sp-500-declines-more-than-30-from-its-closing-level-on-issuance-zillow-home-value-index-declines-more-than-10-yoy-in-any-of-nyc-la-san-francisco-chicago-houston-phoenix-la-3f4ecfd7
status: live
kickoff_at: 2028-07-01T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2028-07-01T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 25934019.53
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:20:34+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-number-of-unemployment-rate-exceeds-10-monthly-bls-sp-500-declines-more-than-30-from-its-closing-level-on-issuance-zillow-home-value-index-declines-more-than-10-yoy-in-any-of-nyc-la-san-francisco-chicago-houston-phoenix-la-3f4ecfd7
---

# Will the number of unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS); S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance; Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix; labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%; CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release during before July 2028 be above 2?

Live · kickoff 2028-07-01 00:00 UTC · $25,934,020 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If at least 3 of: 
unemployment rate exceeds 10% (monthly BLS)
S&P 500 declines more than 30% from its closing level on Issuance
Zillow Home Value Index declines more than 10% YoY in any of: NYC, LA, San Francisco, Chicago, Houston, Phoenix
labor share of gross domestic income (GDI) first-release value for any quarter falls below 50%
CPI-U (All items, not seasonally-adjusted) YoY falls below 0% in any monthly release

occur in any release published after Issuance and before July 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 81% | 82¢ on Kalshi | 82¢ |
| Yes | 20% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/420?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-number-of-unemployment-rate-exceeds-10-monthly-bls-sp-500-declines-more-than-30-from-its-closing-level-on-issuance-zillow-home-value-index-declines-more-than-10-yoy-in-any-of-nyc-la-san-francisco-chicago-houston-phoenix-la-3f4ecfd7.

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