---
title: "Will the S&P 500 be above 7810.58 on Oct 12, 2026 at 4pm EDT?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-sp-500-be-above-781058-on-oct-12-2026-at-4pm-edt
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-10-12T20:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 35395.45
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-12T17:01:54+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-sp-500-be-above-781058-on-oct-12-2026-at-4pm-edt
---

# Will the S&P 500 be above 7810.58 on Oct 12, 2026 at 4pm EDT?

Live · $35,395 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the end-of-day price of the S&P 500 on October 12, 2026 is above 7810.58, then the market resolves to Yes.

The target value is the end-of-day/closing price of the prior week's close.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 60% | 72¢ on Kalshi | 74¢ |
| Yes | 40% | 52¢ on Kalshi | 51¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/781012?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-sp-500-be-above-781058-on-oct-12-2026-at-4pm-edt.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.