---
title: "Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-supreme-court-overturn-marriage-equality
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-01T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 104624.42
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:16:38+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-supreme-court-overturn-marriage-equality
---

# Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality?

Live · $104,624 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the Supreme Court of the United States has overturned Obergefell v. Hodges after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Obergefell v. Hodges will be considered “overturned” if the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that the Constitution of the United States does not guarantee the right to marriage to same-sex couples.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 89% | 93¢ on Kalshi | 93¢ |
| Yes | 11% | 15¢ on Kalshi | 15¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/400?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-supreme-court-overturn-marriage-equality.

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