---
title: "Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of William Maxwell in Maxwell v. Thomas"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-supreme-court-rule-in-favor-of-william-maxwell-in-maxwell-v-thomas
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-08-01T14:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 805
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:06:27+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-supreme-court-rule-in-favor-of-william-maxwell-in-maxwell-v-thomas
---

# Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of William Maxwell in Maxwell v. Thomas

Live · $805 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the Supreme Court, in Maxwell v. Thomas, rules a claim concerning the application of First Step Act time credits seeking accelerated transfer to a halfway house or home confinement may be brought through a habeas petition under 28 U.S.C. § 2241, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Payout Criterion for the Contract encompasses the Expiration Values that the Supreme Court of the United States has ruled that a claim regarding the application of time credits under the First Step Act of 2018, seeking accelerated transfer to a halfway house or home confinement, can be brought in a habeas petition under 28 U.S.C. § 2241 after Issuance and before August 1, 2028. The market resolves to No if the Court rules that such a claim cannot be brought under § 2241, dismisses the case or certiorari as improvidently granted, or remands or otherwise disposes of the case without resolving that question on the merits.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 63% | 67¢ on Kalshi | 67¢ |
| No | 38% | 42¢ on Kalshi | 42¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/96037?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-supreme-court-rule-in-favor-of-william-maxwell-in-maxwell-v-thomas.

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