---
title: "Will the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24 (seasonally adjusted) for 2026 fall below 7.5%?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-unemployment-rate-for-ages-16-to-24-seasonally-adjusted-for-2026-fall-below-75
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-12-04T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-04T13:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 21514.49
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:43:43+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-unemployment-rate-for-ages-16-to-24-seasonally-adjusted-for-2026-fall-below-75
---

# Will the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24 (seasonally adjusted) for 2026 fall below 7.5%?

Live · kickoff 2026-12-04 00:00 UTC · $21,514 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If, in any of the remaining Employment Situation releases published after Issuance in calendar year 2026, the unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24, seasonally adjusted, is below 7.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market covers only Employment Situation releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data.

The relevant statistic is the BLS unemployment rate for ages 16 to 24, seasonally adjusted, series LNS14024887. FRED series LNS14024887 may be used as a reference source.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 80% | 81¢ on Kalshi | 81¢ |
| Yes | 21% | 22¢ on Kalshi | 22¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2601?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-unemployment-rate-for-ages-16-to-24-seasonally-adjusted-for-2026-fall-below-75.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.