---
title: "Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-united-states-acquire-any-part-of-canada-before-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-21T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 148628.63
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:17:11+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-united-states-acquire-any-part-of-canada-before-2029
---

# Will the United States acquire any part of Canada before 2029?

Live · $148,629 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the United States acquires any part of Canada before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Canada that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Canada  must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94% | 97¢ on Kalshi | 97¢ |
| Yes | 6% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/316?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-united-states-acquire-any-part-of-canada-before-2029.

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