---
title: "Will the US ban crude oil exports? — Before Jan 1, 2027"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-us-ban-crude-oil-exports-before-jan-1-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 31682.51
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:52:24+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-us-ban-crude-oil-exports-before-jan-1-2027
---

# Will the US ban crude oil exports? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Live · $31,683 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the United States has imposed a ban on exports of crude oil that has gone into effect  after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94% | 95¢ on Kalshi | 95¢ |
| Yes | 7% | 8¢ on Kalshi | 8¢ |
| Before August 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1473?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-us-ban-crude-oil-exports-before-jan-1-2027.

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