---
title: "Will the US create a national AI regulator?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-us-create-a-national-ai-regulator
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3014.87
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:07:26+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-us-create-a-national-ai-regulator
---

# Will the US create a national AI regulator?

Live · $3,015 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

For this market, a qualifying establishment must be adopted through a law, executive order, regulation, or other binding official act, or unconditionally announced by the President, an authorized Cabinet official, or another authorized U.S. government body.

A new body or formally designated existing body qualifies only if a binding official action grants it primary nationwide, cross-sector AI rulemaking, licensing, supervisory, or enforcement authority comparable in substance to a national regulator, or if an unconditional official announcement commits to granting it such authority, including when that authority will take effect later. The body's name or form does not control: a council, office, standards body, or SRO qualifies if one identifiable body receives those powers. A body that only advises, coordinates, studies, tests, sets voluntary standards, conducts one-off reviews, or has only sector-specific authority does not qualify. Distributed sector-by-sector authority does not qualify.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 17% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | — | — | — |
| Before Jul 1, 2027 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/440648?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-us-create-a-national-ai-regulator.

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