---
title: "Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-us-credit-rating-be-downgraded-by-december-31-2026
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-12-31T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 79180.09
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:08:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-us-credit-rating-be-downgraded-by-december-31-2026
---

# Will the U.S. credit rating be downgraded by December 31, 2026?

Live · kickoff 2026-12-31 00:00 UTC · $79,180 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 99¢ on Kalshi | 99¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 7.8¢ on Kalshi | 7.8¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2299?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-us-credit-rating-be-downgraded-by-december-31-2026.

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