---
title: "Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2028?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-us-default-on-its-debt-by-dec-31-2028
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 4043.34
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T19:48:04+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-us-default-on-its-debt-by-dec-31-2028
---

# Will the US default on its debt by Dec 31, 2028?

Live · $4,043 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the U.S. Department of the Treasury announces that the United States Federal Government failed to make a scheduled payment on a Treasury note, bond, or bill; or that one of the three major credit ratings agencies designate any United States debt in any form of default, before 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Yes | 6% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/311622?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-us-default-on-its-debt-by-dec-31-2028.

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