---
title: "Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan-taiwan-travel-advisory
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2030-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 295328.14
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:43:23+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan-taiwan-travel-advisory
---

# Will the US issue a Level 4 travel advisory for Taiwan?

Live · $295,328 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2030 | 42% | 44¢ on Kalshi | 44¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2029 | 30% | 31¢ on Kalshi | 31¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | 18% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 4% | 6.9¢ on Kalshi | 6.9¢ |
| Before Jul 1, 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/258?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-us-issue-a-level-4-travel-advisory-for-taiwan-taiwan-travel-advisory.

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