---
title: "Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? — During Trump's term"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-us-take-control-of-any-part-of-greenland-during-trumps-term
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-21T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3479528.85
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:19:03+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-us-take-control-of-any-part-of-greenland-during-trumps-term
---

# Will the US take control of any part of Greenland? — During Trump's term

Live · $3,479,529 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

An announcement by the United States and the entity that controls any part of Greenland that it will happen is also encompassed by the Payout Criterion. any part of Greenland  must come under formal governance or jurisdiction of the United States, either as a state, territory, or other classification within the US system, where it was not previously. Merely leasing a given part in territory – for example, setting up a military base on leased territory – is not encompassed by the Payout Criterion.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before January 21, 2029 | 20% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |
| Before 2027 | 3% | 4.5¢ on Kalshi | 4.5¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/315?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-us-take-control-of-any-part-of-greenland-during-trumps-term.

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