---
title: "Will the USD Settlement Price for the Current Auction of the August 19, 2026 CARB Joint Auction #48 settle at or above the official August 19, 2026 ICE settlement price for the August 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-the-usd-settlement-price-for-the-current-auction-of-the-august-19-2026-carb-joint-auction-48-settle-at-or-above-the-official-august-19-2026-ice-settlement-price-for-the-august-2026-california-carbon-allowance-vintage-2026-future
status: ended
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-19T20:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 53047
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-10T20:48:17+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-usd-settlement-price-for-the-current-auction-of-the-august-19-2026-carb-joint-auction-48-settle-at-or-above-the-official-august-19-2026-ice-settlement-price-for-the-august-2026-california-carbon-allowance-vintage-2026-future
---

# Will the USD Settlement Price for the Current Auction of the August 19, 2026 CARB Joint Auction #48 settle at or above the official August 19, 2026 ICE settlement price for the August 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future?

Ended · $53,047 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Result

Delisted by every venue without a result — this event will not resolve.

## About

If the official CARB Current Auction USD Settlement Price for CARB Joint Auction #48 is greater than or equal to the official ICE settlement for August 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future on August 19, 2026, the market resolves to Yes.

CARB Leg: Use the uniform-price allowance price, expressed in USD/tCO2e, resulting from the sale of allowances in the Current Auction component. This figure strictly excludes the Advance Auction Settlement Price, any Allowance Price Containment Reserve sale price, and any secondary-market pricing. If the Current Auction is undersubscribed and clears at the Auction Reserve Price, that reserve price serves as the Settlement Price.

ICE Leg: Use the official ICE settlement for the August 2026 California Carbon Allowance Vintage 2026 Future for trade date August 19, 2026; if none is published for that trade date, use the most recent prior official ICE settlement.

Resolution: Compare both values exactly as published, to the cent, without rounding. The market resolves Yes if the CARB Current Auction Settlement Price is greater than or equal to the ICE settlement price, and No if it is strictly less. In the event that Joint Auction #48 is canceled, postponed, or CARB fails to publish the Summary Results Report by 11:59 PM PT on September 30, 2026, the market resolves to No.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | — | — | 70¢ |
| Yes | — | — | 30¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/277902?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-the-usd-settlement-price-for-the-current-auction-of-the-august-19-2026-carb-joint-auction-48-settle-at-or-above-the-official-august-19-2026-ice-settlement-price-for-the-august-2026-california-carbon-allowance-vintage-2026-future.

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