---
title: "Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-there-be-an-at-least-80-magnitude-earthquake-in-california-before-2028
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-12-31T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 14430.63
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Tech & Science"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:51:45+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-there-be-an-at-least-80-magnitude-earthquake-in-california-before-2028
---

# Will there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?

Live · $14,431 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If there is at least an earthquake of 8.0 magnitude with an epicenter in California or its territorial waters before Dec 31, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 87% | 88¢ on Kalshi | 88¢ |
| Yes | 13% | 14¢ on Kalshi | 14¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/407?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-there-be-an-at-least-80-magnitude-earthquake-in-california-before-2028.

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