---
title: "Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba-cuba
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 127770.01
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:52:08+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba-cuba
---

# Will Trump announce a trade deal with Cuba?

Live · $127,770 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

Preliminary agreements, frameworks, or agreements in principle do count as long as they are presented as a new trade-related agreement.
Cuba must also acknowledge the agreement.
A mere declaration of intent to start negotiations or "explore a trade deal" is not sufficient.
If the U.S. and Cuba are part of a multilateral trade agreement announced within the timeframe, it is included.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | — | — | 17¢ |
| Before Aug 1, 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before May 1, 2026 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2129?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-announce-a-trade-deal-with-cuba-cuba.

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