---
title: "Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-trump-be-impeached-by-end-of-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-06-30T23:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1042533.03
venues: ["Polymarket", "Polymarket US"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T13:19:25+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-be-impeached-by-end-of-2026
---

# Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Live · $1,042,533 traded · listed on Polymarket, Polymarket US

## About

This market asks whether Donald Trump will be impeached by the US House of Representatives between July 24, 2025 and the end of 2026. A "Yes" resolution requires the House to approve at least one article of impeachment by simple majority; Senate trial, conviction, or removal from office are not required. If no such vote occurs by December 31, 2026, the market resolves "No."

Across platforms, "No" is the heavy favourite. Polymarket prices "No" at 97.7% and "Yes" at just 2.2%, while Polymarket US shows "No" at 94.0% and "Yes" at 7.0%. The consensus implied probabilities are 97.7% for "No" and 6.5% for "Yes," with Polymarket carrying essentially all the liquidity — about $1.0 million in volume and $117,698 in liquidity, versus no recorded activity on the Polymarket US listing.

The cross-platform spread on each outcome is roughly 4.15 points, with Polymarket US pricing impeachment materially higher than Polymarket. That gap is notable in relative terms — "Yes" on Polymarket US is more than three times the price on Polymarket — but stems from the thinly traded US listing rather than a genuine disagreement among active markets. Overall, active trading points overwhelmingly toward no House impeachment vote before the end of 2026.

_AI-written summary written 2026-08-24; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2027 | 55% | 63¢ on Polymarket | 63¢ | — |
| June 30, 2027 | 43% | 53¢ on Polymarket | 53¢ | — |
| Yes | 3% | 2.5¢ on Polymarket | 2.5¢ | 5¢ |
| No | — | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5079?via=md)
- [Polymarket US](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/299727?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-be-impeached-by-end-of-2026.

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