---
title: "Will Trump bring back manufacturing?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-trump-bring-back-manufacturing
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-06-30T03:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 26503.34
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T15:18:31+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-bring-back-manufacturing
---

# Will Trump bring back manufacturing?

Live · $26,503 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the value added by Manufacturing to GDP in Q4 2028 is at least 13.1% (the value it was in Q1 2005), then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 81% | 85¢ on Kalshi | 85¢ |
| Yes | 19% | 24¢ on Kalshi | 24¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/301?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-bring-back-manufacturing.

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