---
title: "Will Trump expand high-skill immigration?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-trump-expand-high-skill-immigration
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-20T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 123518.15
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:33:38+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-expand-high-skill-immigration
---

# Will Trump expand high-skill immigration?

Live · $123,518 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the number of allowable H-1B visas as of Issuance (as of certification, the cap is 65,000 visas and an additional 20,000 for advanced degrees) has been increased after Issuance and before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Increasing the current cap (or eliminating it entirely) or exemption for advanced degrees, or creating new exemptions, would be encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The Payout Criterion also encompasses creating a third kind of H-1B visa other than the normal visa and the exemption for advanced degrees.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 80% | 81¢ on Kalshi | 81¢ |
| Yes | 20% | 21¢ on Kalshi | 21¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/344?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-expand-high-skill-immigration.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.