---
title: "Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-trump-flip-the-bird-again-in-2026
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 59358.07
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:10:27+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-flip-the-bird-again-in-2026
---

# Will Trump flip the bird again in 2026?

Live · $59,358 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

Donald Trump showed the middle finger to an individual heckling him at a Minnesota Ford plant on January 13 (see: https://www.cnn.com/2026/01/13/politics/ford-plant-trump-middle-finger-flip).

This market will resolve to “Yes” if photo or video evidence shows Donald Trump giving the middle finger to anybody else by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A qualifying video or photo must show Donald Trump raising his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in the gesture commonly referred to as “flipping the bird”. Evidence must show Trump making the gesture in a context that could reasonably indicate it is directed at a person or group, even if it does not indicate so definitively.  Past instances such as Donald Trump showing his middle finger at a Black History Month event (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-middle-finger/4654155) or while speaking to female astronauts (https://www.c-span.org/clip/white-house-event/user-clip-trump-flips-off-women-astronauts/4823553) would both count.

Photo or video evidence of Trump extending his middle finger while keeping the rest of his fingers down in a context which in no way indicates that the gesture was intentional or directed at an individual or group will not count.

AI-generated images or video will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be photo or video evidence of Donald Trump raising his middle finger.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 90% | 90¢ on Polymarket | 90¢ |
| Yes | 11% | 11¢ on Polymarket | 11¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5781?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-flip-the-bird-again-in-2026.

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