---
title: "Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? — Before Jan 20, 2029"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-trump-invoke-the-insurrection-act-before-jan-20-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-20T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 592374.07
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T08:18:02+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-invoke-the-insurrection-act-before-jan-20-2029
---

# Will Trump invoke the Insurrection Act? — Before Jan 20, 2029

Live · $592,374 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Jan 20, 2029 | 46% | 47¢ on Kalshi | 47¢ |
| Before Jan 1, 2027 | 16% | 16¢ on Kalshi | 16¢ |
| Before May 2026 | — | — | — |
| Before Jan 1, 2028 | — | — | — |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/339?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-invoke-the-insurrection-act-before-jan-20-2029.

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