---
title: "Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-trump-make-a-new-free-trade-agreement-with-china-before-jan-20-2029
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2029-01-20T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 70965.03
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T06:12:29+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-make-a-new-free-trade-agreement-with-china-before-jan-20-2029
---

# Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with China before Jan 20, 2029?

Live · $70,965 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If a free trade agreement with China has become law, either through Senate ratification and Presidential approval or through Congressional-Executive Agreement and the signature of the President (or at least, signing the implementing legislation) after Issuance before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 84% | 86¢ on Kalshi | 86¢ |
| Yes | 17% | 19¢ on Kalshi | 19¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/346?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-make-a-new-free-trade-agreement-with-china-before-jan-20-2029.

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