---
title: "Will Trump pardon anyone by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-trump-pardon-anyone-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 5496.94
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T16:12:50+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-pardon-anyone-by
---

# Will Trump pardon anyone by...?

Live · $5,497 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 31

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 27% | 47¢ on Polymarket | 47¢ |
| No | 74% | 94¢ on Polymarket | 94¢ |

## Other markets

- September 30 — 2 outcomes
- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/529674?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-pardon-anyone-by.

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