---
title: "Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 181904.31
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:06:51+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027
---

# Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?

Live · $181,904 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally recognizes the Republic of Somaliland as a sovereign state by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Only formal recognition of Somaliland will qualify. Statements/actions which acknowledge the Republic of Somaliland, or change its diplomatic status with the U.S. but do not formally recognize the country as a sovereign state will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 96% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |
| Yes | 4% | 4.8¢ on Polymarket | 4.8¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5394?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-recognize-somaliland-before-2027.

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