---
title: "Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? "
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-trump-reduce-the-deficit-before-2027
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-03-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 3548.87
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T20:29:23+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-reduce-the-deficit-before-2027
---

# Will Trump reduce the deficit before 2027? 

Live · $3,549 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

The U.S. federal budget deficit for September 2025 was $197,949,630,362.16 (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government). 

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) reports a lower monthly deficit in December 2026 than in September 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source will be the Monthly Treasury Statement (MTS) published by the U.S. Department of the Treasury (fiscaldata.treasury.gov). The month surplus can be found in the column labeled "Current Month Deficit Surplus Amount" in the the table "Summary of Receipts, Outlays, and Surplus or Deficit” in the MTS (see: https://fiscaldata.treasury.gov/datasets/monthly-treasury-statement/summary-of-receipts-outlays-and-the-deficit-surplus-of-the-u-s-government).  If no report is published by February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET another credible source will be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92% | 94¢ on Polymarket | 94¢ |
| Yes | 8% | 9.7¢ on Polymarket | 9.7¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/7491?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-reduce-the-deficit-before-2027.

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