---
title: "Will Trump run for a third term? — 2028 President of the United States race"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-trump-run-for-a-third-term-2028-president-of-the-united-states-race
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2028-11-07T15:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 154397.44
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Politics"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T05:15:57+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-run-for-a-third-term-2028-president-of-the-united-states-race
---

# Will Trump run for a third term? — 2028 President of the United States race

Live · $154,397 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Before Election Day | 14% | 17¢ on Kalshi | 17¢ |
| Before 2028 | 10% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |
| Before 2027 | 7% | 8.8¢ on Kalshi | 8.8¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/292888?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-trump-run-for-a-third-term-2028-president-of-the-united-states-race.

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