---
title: "Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by...?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-ukraine-re-enter-kolodiazi-by
status: settled
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-09-18T16:02:57+00:00
total_volume_usd: 31230.91
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-11-04T21:52:06+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-ukraine-re-enter-kolodiazi-by
---

# Will Ukraine re-enter Kolodiazi by...?

Settled · $31,231 traded · listed on Polymarket

## Result

**Yes** won. Settled 2026-09-18.

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Ukraine captures any territory of Kolodiazi, Donetsk Oblast, (49.085881° N, 37.886668° E) between market creation and the specified date (ET).

Territory will be considered captured if any part of the specified territory is shaded under a below specified layer on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date. Otherwise, the market will resolve to “No”.

For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Ukrainian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle. If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date. Any continuous shading which reflects either "Reported Ukrainian Territorial Gains in the Past 24 Hours", or “Claimed Ukrainian Counteroffensives” will qualify. 

Once a qualifying condition is met, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market.

If Ukraine comes into control of the specified territory as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a 'Yes' resolution, regardless of whether it is shaded blue in the ISW map. However, an announcement of a negotiated settlement that gives Ukraine de jure control will not qualify. Actual control must be established.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the ISW Ukraine map. If the ISW map is rendered unavailable, information from DeepStateMap (https://deepstatemap.live/) may be used. If information from both the ISW and DeepStateMap are rendered permanently unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Note: Any temporary glitches or errors in the map will not be considered.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Other markets

- October 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/470033?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or the [JSON API](https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-ukraine-re-enter-kolodiazi-by).

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