---
title: "Will US business applications be above 546,719 in any 2026 month?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-us-business-applications-be-above-546719-in-any-2026-month
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2027-01-15T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-08-17T17:13:54+00:00
settled_at: 2026-08-17T17:13:54+00:00
total_volume_usd: 11992.13
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-22T19:38:11+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-us-business-applications-be-above-546719-in-any-2026-month
---

# Will US business applications be above 546,719 in any 2026 month?

Settled · kickoff 2027-01-15 00:00 UTC · $11,992 traded · listed on Kalshi

## Result

**Yes** won. Settled 2026-08-17.

## About

If the US business applications are above 546,719 in any month during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

For purposes of this market, “U.S. business applications” refers to Business Applications: Total for All NAICS in the United States, FRED series BABATOTALSAUS. This series is reported monthly, seasonally adjusted, and sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Business Formation Statistics.

This market will use the first value published by Federal Reserve Economic Data for each relevant month. Revisions released after the first publication of a monthly value will not be considered.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/10563?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-us-business-applications-be-above-546719-in-any-2026-month.

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