---
title: "Will U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-us-imports-from-iran-for-2026-be-greater-than-5m
status: live
kickoff_at: 2027-02-01T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-02-01T13:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 13372.78
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:34:38+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-us-imports-from-iran-for-2026-be-greater-than-5m
---

# Will U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M?

Live · kickoff 2027-02-01 00:00 UTC · $13,373 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the "TOTAL 2026" value for Imports on the U.S. Census Bureau "Trade in goods with Iran" table (values in millions of U.S. dollars) for 2026 is greater than 5.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 92% | 92¢ on Kalshi | 92¢ |
| Yes | 9% | 9¢ on Kalshi | 9¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1179?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-us-imports-from-iran-for-2026-be-greater-than-5m.

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