---
title: "Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-us-nonfarm-productivity-yoy-in-any-quarter-for-2026-be-above-3
status: live
kickoff_at: 2027-03-04T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2027-03-04T13:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 52494.83
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T11:39:36+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-us-nonfarm-productivity-yoy-in-any-quarter-for-2026-be-above-3
---

# Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%?

Live · kickoff 2027-03-04 00:00 UTC · $52,495 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Only the first non-preliminary release for each quarter will be considered. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51% | 52¢ on Kalshi | 52¢ |
| No | 50% | 51¢ on Kalshi | 51¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/1160?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-us-nonfarm-productivity-yoy-in-any-quarter-for-2026-be-above-3.

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