---
title: "Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-usdc-hit-50-of-usdt-market-cap-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T05:00:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 183219.51
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:09:59+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-usdc-hit-50-of-usdt-market-cap-by
---

# Will USDC hit 50% of USDT market cap by ___?

Live · $183,220 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if the USDC marketcap is equal to or greater than 50% of USDT marketcap on any day by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

This market will resolve based on CoinGecko's "historical data" section for each coin, currently available at https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/usd-coin/historical_data#panel and https://www.coingecko.com/en/coins/tether/historical_data#panel respectively, specifically the daily "Market Cap" data.

The daily market cap data for any given date will be considered finalized once data for the following calendar day is published on CoinGecko’s “Historical Data” page for both USDC and USDT.

This market will resolve based on the specified CoinGecko chart, not according to other sources or spot markets.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## December 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 28% | 37¢ on Polymarket | 37¢ |
| No | 72% | 81¢ on Polymarket | 81¢ |

## Other markets

- December 31 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5369?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-usdc-hit-50-of-usdt-market-cap-by.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.