---
title: "Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-variational-launch-a-token-by
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 453138.64
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Crypto"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T10:16:36+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-variational-launch-a-token-by
---

# Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?

Live · $453,139 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Variational officially launches a governance token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Variational (https://x.com/variational_io), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## October 31, 2026

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | 4.8¢ on Polymarket | 4.8¢ |
| No | 96% | 97¢ on Polymarket | 97¢ |

## Other markets

- December 31, 2025 — 2 outcomes
- June 30, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- September 30, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- November 30, 2026 — 2 outcomes
- December 31, 2026 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5220?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-variational-launch-a-token-by.

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