---
title: "Will Venezuela become 51st state?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-venezuela-become-51st-state
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2027-01-01T04:59:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 397085.19
venues: ["Polymarket"]
categories: ["Politics", "World"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T07:05:52+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-venezuela-become-51st-state
---

# Will Venezuela become 51st state?

Live · $397,085 traded · listed on Polymarket

## About

This market will resolve to "Yes" any portion of Venezuela is formally annexed into the United States of America and becomes the 51st state between January 3, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

An official agreement that is announced will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when it is slated to go into effect. If any territory that includes no portion of Venezuelan land is made the 51st US state within this market's timeframe, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

_From Polymarket's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Polymarket |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 98% | 98¢ on Polymarket | 98¢ |
| Yes | 2% | 2.3¢ on Polymarket | 2.3¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/5221?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-venezuela-become-51st-state.

BetCrypto is an odds-comparison and information service. It accepts no wagers and gives no betting or financial advice; prediction-market availability depends on where you live.