---
title: "Will West Virginia's resident population estimate for July 1, 2026 be above 1,766,147?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-west-virginias-resident-population-estimate-for-july-1-2026-be-above-1766147
status: live
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-31T16:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 1852.63
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: []
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T12:37:40+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-west-virginias-resident-population-estimate-for-july-1-2026-be-above-1766147
---

# Will West Virginia's resident population estimate for July 1, 2026 be above 1,766,147?

Live · $1,853 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the U.S. Census Bureau reports West Virginia's resident population estimate for July 1, 2026 is above 1,766,147, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolution will use the Vintage 2026 July 1, 2026 resident population estimate for West Virginia published by the U.S. Census Bureau Population Estimates Program.

The threshold of 1,766,147 is fixed and will not change if Census subsequently revises its estimate of West Virginia's 2025 population.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 76% | 76¢ on Kalshi | 76¢ |
| Yes | 25% | 25¢ on Kalshi | 25¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/285285?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-west-virginias-resident-population-estimate-for-july-1-2026-be-above-1766147.

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