---
title: "Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/will-year-over-year-core-cpi-inflation-for-2026-fall-below-22
status: live
kickoff_at: 2026-12-10T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-12-10T13:29:00+00:00
total_volume_usd: 41319.16
venues: ["Kalshi"]
categories: ["Markets"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:11:09+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-year-over-year-core-cpi-inflation-for-2026-fall-below-22
---

# Will year-over-year Core CPI inflation for 2026 fall below 2.2%?

Live · kickoff 2026-12-10 00:00 UTC · $41,319 traded · listed on Kalshi

## About

If the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that year-over-year Core CPI inflation is below 2.2% in any remaining 2026 monthly CPI release after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market covers only CPI releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the CPI release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data. The last covered CPI release is the November 2026 CPI release, scheduled for Thursday, December 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET.

_From Kalshi's listing._

## Main market

| Outcome | Probability | Cheapest | Kalshi |
|---|---|---|---|
| No | 94% | 98¢ on Kalshi | 98¢ |
| Yes | 6% | 10¢ on Kalshi | 10¢ |

## Open on a venue

- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/2585?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/will-year-over-year-core-cpi-inflation-for-2026-fall-below-22.

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