---
title: "Zakharova vs Shubladze"
canonical_url: https://betcrypto.now/events/zakharova-vs-shubladze
status: settled
kickoff_at: 2026-07-16T00:00:00+00:00
trading_closes_at: 2026-07-22T10:00:00+00:00
settled_at: 2026-07-16T16:37:58+00:00
total_volume_usd: 2245337.87
venues: ["Azuro", "Kalshi", "Polymarket"]
categories: ["Sports", "Tennis"]
prices_as_of: 2026-10-09T09:56:42+00:00
publisher: BetCrypto
data_api: https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/zakharova-vs-shubladze
---

# Zakharova vs Shubladze

Settled · kickoff 2026-07-16 00:00 UTC · $2,245,338 traded · listed on Azuro, Kalshi, Polymarket

## Result

**Anastasia Zakharova** won. Settled 2026-07-16.

## About

This market covered the WTA 125K Istanbul 2 Round of 16 tennis match between Anastasia Zakharova and Alexandra Shubladze, scheduled for July 16, 2026. A "Zakharova" outcome resolves if she advances; a "Shubladze" outcome resolves if her opponent does. The event is now closed, with Kalshi drawing the bulk of activity at roughly $2.2M in volume against much thinner books on Polymarket ($6K) and effectively empty markets on Azuro.

Zakharova was the clear favourite to win the match, but the platforms disagreed sharply on just how clear. Kalshi priced her at 99.0%, essentially treating the result as settled, while Polymarket had her at just 54.5% and Azuro at 58.8% — a cross-platform spread of 44.5 points on the same head-to-head question. The mirror image shows on Shubladze, priced at 45.5% on Polymarket and 47.6% on Azuro but only 2.0% on Kalshi, a 43.5-point gap.

Alongside the moneyline, Polymarket and Azuro listed a range of totals and handicap lines, with most games-over/under markets clustering near coin-flip levels. The takeaway is that all four venues agreed on the favourite, but Kalshi's near-certain pricing sat far apart from the much more competitive lines quoted on Polymarket and Azuro.

_AI-written summary written 2026-07-16; its figures date from then — the table below is live._

## Other markets

- Handicap 0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Completed Match — 2 outcomes
- Istanbul 2: Anastasia Zakharova vs Alexandra Shubladze Set 1 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 8.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 3 — 2 outcomes
- Istanbul 2: Anastasia Zakharova vs Alexandra Shubladze Set 2 Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 11 — 2 outcomes
- Spread -1.5 — 3 outcomes
- Total Games Odd/Even — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 2.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Total Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 9.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 23.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 21 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 10.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 22 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -0.5 — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 20.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -2 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 12 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -1 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap 1 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -3.5 — 2 outcomes
- 1st Set: Handicap Games — 4 outcomes
- 1st Set: Winner — 2 outcomes
- Total O/U 19.5 — 2 outcomes
- Handicap -2.5 — 2 outcomes

_Every market's prices are on the event page._

## Open on a venue

- [Azuro](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/40656?via=md)
- [Kalshi](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/39321?via=md)
- [Polymarket](https://betcrypto.now/go/e/34175?via=md)

---

Probability is the cross-venue consensus (book midpoints, 0–100%). Venue columns are what buying costs there (the ask). Prices move constantly; re-check at the canonical URL or https://betcrypto.now/api/v1/events/zakharova-vs-shubladze.

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