BETCRYPTO
Settled

10-year U.S. Treasury yield up in next 15 mins?

Starts:Oct 20, 2026, 3:45 PMEnds:Oct 20, 2026, 4:00 PM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
ResolvedWinner:YesSettled Oct 20, 2026
Markets favorite hit rate84.5% (5,204)
Total volume
$800
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
2
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.

YesWinner
WonResult
KalshiNo liquidity95.0%
NoNo liquidity
LostResult
KalshiNo liquidity5.0%

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

If the close yield (%) of the 1-minute Pyth candlestick for 10-year U.S. Treasury ending at 12:00 PM EDT on Oct 20, 2026 is at least 5.10937, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick for 10-year U.S. Treasury ending at 12:00 PM EDT on Oct 20, 2026. The 10-year U.S. Treasury refers to the US10Y, the current on-the-run benchmark of the 10-year U.S. Treasury Note as identified on the Source Agency. Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 5 decimal places. Yields are expressed as annualized percentages. The opening target and settlement yield each use the closing yield of the one-minute Pyth candlestick immediately preceding their observation time. For a 4:45–5:00 PM EDT market, the opening target uses the candle timestamped 4:44 PM, ending at 4:45 PM; settlement uses the candle timestamped 4:59 PM, ending at 5:00 PM. Candlesticks are timestamped by their start time. If reliable Pyth data is unavailable, the contract’s no-data provisions apply.

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