Settled
10Y US Treasury yield on Jul 8, 2026? — On Jul 8, 2026
Starts:Jul 7, 2026, 7:30 PMEnds:Jul 8, 2026, 7:30 PM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Total volume
$543
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
9
Platforms
1
Markets
1
Markets
Every market on this event, moneyline first. Select one to compare it across platforms in the side panel.
| Outcome | Result | Volume | Gemini | Kalshi | Limitless | Novig | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
4.35% or above Winner | Won | $154 | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.45% or above Winner | Won | $161 | — | — | — | — | — | |
4.3% or above Winner | Won | $60 | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
4.4% or above Winner | Won | $62 | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
4.5% or above Winner | Won | $75 | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
4.55% or above Winner | Won | — | — | No liquidity99.0% | — | — | — | — |
4.35% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.45% or aboveWinner
WonResult
4.3% or aboveWinner
WonResult
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
4.4% or aboveWinner
WonResult
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
4.5% or aboveWinner
WonResult
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
4.55% or aboveWinner
WonResult
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%
Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.
If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.29% on Jul 8, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Jul 8, 2026, or one week following Jul 8, 2026.
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