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120th Congress: Who will run for House Democratic leader? — Before Jan 1, 2027

Starts:Oct 9, 2026, 2:00 AMEnds:Jan 1, 2027, 3:00 PM
GMIKSHLMTNVGPLYPMU
Politics favorite hit rate95.3% (3,537)
Total volume
$8.2K
Largest spread
—
Outcomes
8
Platforms
1
Markets
1

Markets

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Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
12.0%Best · Kalshi$1.6K
Katherine Clark
7.0%Best · Kalshi$5.3K
Hakeem JeffriesWinner
KalshiNo liquidity99.0%

Description from Kalshi. A cross-platform summary is generated once this event is matched across platforms.

The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources. House Democratic leader means the top post the House Democratic Caucus elects for the 120th Congress after the 2026 midterm elections: its nominee for Speaker of the House if Democrats win the House majority, or Minority Leader if they do not. An announcement made before the House majority is known, including a conditional one, counts only if it is for the post that becomes the top post. Running only for a lower post, such as Majority Leader or whip, does not count. Standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance, including unopposed, counts as announcing a run. An announcement made before Issuance does NOT resolve Yes. For a person who announced before Issuance, repeating that announcement does not count; only standing as a candidate in that leadership election after Issuance resolves Yes. A person who announces and later withdraws still resolves YES.

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